Monday’s five hundred point market decline reminds me of October, 1987 and leads to expect more such down days. I hope so.
The Dow started to head south in September and was down 8.4% from peak. Then the markets rebounded and on October 2nd the Dow was up 5.9% from September 21st. Over the next 7 days the Dow would drop 13.5% from its high on August 25th.
On October 19th, 1987 the market crashed. The Dow dropped 508 points or 22.6% for the day. This was a drop of 36.7% from the record high of 2722.44 on August 25, 1987. The stock market has lost 1/2 trillion dollars of wealth.
It was bloody; weak sister brokerages E.F Hutton and, yes, Lehman Brothers disappeared (into American Express). Gloom & doom prevailed; program traders were the designated culprits.
But it was brief. Despite the rise in interest rates that sparked the near 40%, the broader economy remained expansive, By November the Dow began a 2-year climb that recovered the value---and then embarked on the extraordinary ride of the 1990’s.
So far, the politicos seem to be handling the daily crises and I am pleased they are not doing anything to prop up the bogus securities cooked up between Lehman and AIG. Off with their head! And let’s get back to the party.
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
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